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Stock Futures Point to Recovery Ahead of Busy Earnings Day


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U.S. stock futures rose Thursday, suggesting that markets may recover ground, as investors await earnings and guidance from the behemoth technology companies that have driven much of the rally this year.

Futures tied to the S&P 500 gained 0.7%, a day after the benchmark posted its steepest fall since June 11. Contracts linked to Nasdaq-100 climbed almost 1%, indicating that technology stocks will also climb after the New York opening bell.

Apple, Alphabet,
are scheduled to report after markets close, marking what may be the important day of the current earnings season for the tech sector. The stocks have posted sweeping gains this year, with investors betting that those businesses stand to benefit during the coronavirus-pandemic lockdowns.

Giant technology companies are scheduled to report earnings on Thursday, and could shift market sentiment.

Giant technology companies are scheduled to report earnings on Thursday, and could shift market sentiment.

Photo: denis charlet/Agence France-Presse/Getty Images

The handful of stocks now account for a significant portion of the S&P 500 benchmark. That means investors’ perception of the health of their operations can weigh on broader market sentiment, and lead to volatility in the benchmark.

“What I’m not looking at is what happened in the last quarter: because the recovery was so strong, it’s almost a given that there is an improvement,” said Luca Paolini, chief strategist at Pictet Asset Management. “What I want to see is companies feeling confident [enough] to give us guidance for the next few quarters.”

If companies find that the economic outlook is too cloudy, and they don’t have visibility on prospects for their businesses, they may revert to their behavior in March and avoid offering projections, he said. That would likely deal a blow to investors’ confidence.

Companies including Spotify Technology, Comcast and Kraft Heinz are also scheduled to report quarterly earnings starting at about 6:30 a.m. ET.

The Cboe Volatility Index, a gauge of investors’ expectations for swings in U.S. stocks, fell on Thursday, but remains near its highest level since June.

Worries that an uptick in Covid-19 cases will lead to new lockdowns and restrictions, which could erode the pace of economic recovery, have weighed on markets this week in both the U.S. and Europe. The U.S. reported nearly 79,000 new coronavirus cases for Wednesday, the second day in a row the total has come in over 70,000, according to data compiled by Johns Hopkins University.

France and Germany on Wednesday announced new restrictions on business and social activity, including shutting down restaurants, bars and some shops for a few weeks to stem the rising tide of infections. Leaders in both countries aimed to cushion the economic impact of the restrictions, saying factories and schools would remain open.

The pan-continental Stoxx Europe 600 gained almost 0.4%, after this week falling to its lowest level since May 22.

The U.S. election also remains in focus, with many investors remaining cautious about placing big bets ahead of the Nov. 3 vote.

Still, this week’s selloff could present a buying opportunity for some investors, and help stock indexes recover some losses.

“The phenomenon that we’ve seen is that when markets correct, you get people to come in and think this is an opportunity to buy,” said Daryl Liew, chief investment officer at REYL Singapore. “The reality is that investors still have a lot of cash. It’s not a liquidity crisis for most people.”

U.S. gross domestic product in the third quarter, due at 8:30 a.m. ET, is expected to shatter previous records for growth, reflecting a strong rebound for consumer spending, business investment and real estate as pandemic-related lockdowns lifted.

Data on how many Americans applied for unemployment benefits for the first time through the week ended Oct. 24 is also due at 8:30 a.m., and will offer the last snapshot of the health of the labor market before next week’s election. U.S. jobless claims in the prior week fell to their lowest levels since March, a sign the labor market is slowly healing.

In bond markets, the yield on the 10-year Treasury was largely flat at 0.781%, compared with 0.780% Wednesday.

In commodities, oil extended its selloff. Brent crude, the international gauge, retreated 2.8% to $38.56 a barrel.

Investors will also be looking to see if the European Central Bank provides any fresh indications on whether and when it will provide more stimulus following its monetary policy meeting Thursday. The surge in coronavirus infections across the region in recent weeks has stoked concerns that the eurozone’s economic recovery may stall.

In the Asia-Pacific region, stock benchmarks were mixed at the end of trading. The Shanghai Composite Index edged up 0.1% while Australia’s benchmark S&P/ASX 200 declined 1.6%.

Write to Caitlin Ostroff at caitlin.ostroff@wsj.com